/Minnesota vs. Northwestern odds, line: 2021 Big Ten Tournament picks, predictions from proven model
Minnesota vs. Northwestern odds, line: 2021 Big Ten Tournament picks, predictions from proven model

Minnesota vs. Northwestern odds, line: 2021 Big Ten Tournament picks, predictions from proven model

The Northwestern Wildcats and Minnesota Golden Gophers begin their postseason journeys with a Big Ten Tournament matchup on Wednesday evening. The Wildcats and Golden Gophers square off in Indianapolis, and the game doubles as the opener to the Big Ten Tournament. Lucas Oil Stadium will host the proceedings in something of a tune-up for the 2021 NCAA Tournament. Both Northwestern and Minnesota will be tasked with winning five games in five days to earn the conference crown, with Ohio State awaiting the winner on Thursday.

Tip-off is at 6:30 p.m. ET in Indianapolis. William Hill Sportsbook lists Northwestern as a one-point favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 139.5 in the latest Northwestern vs. Minnesota odds. Before you make any Minnesota vs. Northwestern picks, be sure to see the college basketball predictions and betting advice from SportsLine’s proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $400 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Minnesota vs. Northwestern in the Big Ten Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Northwestern vs. Minnesota:

  • Northwestern vs. Minnesota spread: Northwestern -1
  • Northwestern vs. Minnesota over-under: 139.5 points
  • Northwestern vs. Minnesota money line: Northwestern -115, Minnesota -105
  • NW: The Wildcats are 6-4 against the spread in the last 10 games
  • MINN: The Gophers are 2-7-1 against the spread in the last 10 games

Featured Game | Northwestern Wildcats vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Why Northwestern can cover

Northwestern’s overall win-loss record isn’t overly impressive, but the Wildcats are playing better in recent days, while Minnesota struggles. The Wildcats won their final three games before the Big Ten Tournament, while Minnesota has lost seven straight and 12 of the last 15 games overall. Northwestern is above-average in adjusted defensive efficiency (93.7), and the Wildcats are above-average in defensive rebound rate (74.0 percent) and three-point shooting allowed (33.5 percent). Minnesota lands near the bottom of the national pecking order in three-point shooting offensively, making just 28.6 percent of their attempts, and the Gophers have one of the lowest effective field goal percentages (45.3 percent) in the country.

Northwestern’s offense takes care of the ball well, committing a turnover on only 17.1 percent of possessions, and the Wildcats are above-average in three-point shooting (34.9 percent) and free throw shooting (72.6 percent). Minnesota is also a poor defensive rebounding team, grabbing only 67.8 percent of missed shots from its opponents, and Northwestern could generate second-chance points as a result.

Why Minnesota can cover

Northwestern has a few notable weaknesses that can pave the way to success for Minnesota. The Wildcats are one of the worst offensive rebounding teams in the country, grabbing only 19.8 percent of their own missed shots, and Minnesota can close possessions effectively as a result. Northwestern is also well below-average at creating free throw attempts, keeping the pressure off Minnesota’s interior defense.

On the other side of the floor, Northwestern lands outside the top 250 nationally in turnover creation rate (17.6 percent) and, while the Wildcats feature are a solid defense, havoc is not a huge part of their strategy. The Wildcats also struggle against two-point attempts, yielding 50.7 percent shooting inside the arc to their opponents. Finally, it helps that Minnesota has one of the best scorers in the Big Ten in Marcus Carr, who ranks third in the conference in averaging 19.6 points per game this season.

How to make Northwestern vs. Minnesota picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 143 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 50 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Minnesota vs. Northwestern? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.