/Oregon State vs. Houston odds: 2021 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness Elite 8 predictions from proven model
Oregon State vs. Houston odds: 2021 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness Elite 8 predictions from proven model

Oregon State vs. Houston odds: 2021 NCAA Tournament picks, March Madness Elite 8 predictions from proven model

The 12th-seeded Oregon State Beavers will try to continue their magical run in the 2021 NCAA Tournament when they face the No. 2-seeded Houston Cougars in the Elite Eight on Monday. The Beavers (20-12) used their strong defense to get past Loyola-Chicago 65-58 on Saturday to reach their first Elite Eight since 1982. The Cougars (27-3) are one of the best defensive teams in the nation, and they showed that Saturday as they held Syracuse to 46 points in a 16-point victory to reach this point for the first time since 1984.

Tip-off is set for 7:15 p.m. ET on CBS at Lucas Oil Stadium in Indianapolis. William Hill Sportsbook lists the Cougars as 7.5-point favorites in its latest Oregon State vs. Houston odds, and the over-under for total points scored is 129. Before making any Houston vs. Oregon State picks, check out the college basketball predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of $2,200 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Houston vs. Oregon State in the Elite Eight of the NCAA Tournament 2021. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds and trends for Oregon State vs. Houston:

  • Oregon State vs. Houston spread: Cougars -7.5
  • Oregon State vs. Houston over-under: 129 points
  • Oregon State vs. Houston money line: Beavers +280, Cougars -350
  • OSU: Opponents make just 29.8 percent on 3-point tries, best in the Pac-12
  • HOU: The Cougars have a plus-9.3 rebounding margin, while Oregon State is plus-1.1

Why Houston can cover

Houston is 20-9 against the spread this season, and the Cougars held Syracuse to a season-low 28 percent shooting. Houston leads the nation in that category this season, with opponents shooting 37 percent, and is second in the nation in scoring, allowing 57.6 points per contest. The Beavers score just 70 points per game (238th) and shoot 43.2 percent (226th). The Cougars have allowed more than 60 points just three times in their last 10 games, and they average more than 41 rebounds and eight steals. AAC All-Defensive Team honoree DeJon Jarreau spearheads the effort.

The Cougars are 9-2 against the spread in their last 11 neutral-site games as favorites, and the defense does it with forward Justin Gorham pulling down rebounds and a guard-heavy lineup that bothers shooters. Gorham averages 8.6 points and 8.6 rebounds, while AAC co-Player of the Year Quentin Grimes scores a team-high 18 points and adds six boards. The Cougars are also efficient on offense, scoring more than 77 points and shooting better than 36 percent from 3-point range, led by Grimes at 41.3 percent.

Why Oregon State can cover

Oregon State is 6-0 against the spread in its last six neutral-site games as an underdog, and it is led by versatile veteran Ethan Thompson. The All Pac-12 senior guard leads the team in scoring (15.3) and assists (3.8) and chips in 3.9 rebounds. He is averaging more than 20 points and seven rebounds over the last three games, and his leadership has sparked this run. The Beavers like to slow the pace and average just 70 points per game, but they allow less than 67 and have yielded just over 61 in the tournament.

The Beavers are 16-5 against the spread as an underdog, going 5-0 ATS against teams ranked in the top 25. Sophomore guard Jarod Lucas scores 12.9 points per game, and he and Thompson can hit from outside. Lucas is hitting at a 38.9-percent clip on a team-high 193 attempts, while Thompson has hit one-third of his 141 tries. Forward Warith Alatishe averages 9.6 points and 8.7 boards and leads the Pac-12 in offensive rebounds with 105.

How to make Houston vs. Oregon State picks

The model is leaning over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 139 points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Oregon State vs. Houston? And which side of the spread hits well over 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.